Daily Digest — 2026-04-07
What changed across active themes today. Generated as a view on current wiki state per DD9.
Theme Status Summary
| Theme | Status | Direction | Key signal today |
|---|---|---|---|
| iran-hormuz-supply-shock | Active | Strengthening | No new evidence today — soft flag: unreckoned events accumulating (Brent $129+, Navy escort status) |
| gold-case-for-and-against | Active | Strengthening | No new evidence today — last reckoned event: FOMC March 17-18 |
| us-dollar-crisis-safe-haven | Contested | — | No resolution — awaiting next major risk-off event as test |
| btc-regime-etf-structural-edge | Dormant | — | No activity |
What changed
Nothing new was filed today. This is a prototype digest showing how a “quiet day” renders. On days with no new Slack messages, R2 docs, or TKG facts, the digest surfaces:
- Unreckoned event flags — themes that haven’t reckoned with recent material events
- Staleness warnings — numerical data approaching freshness budget limits
- Open questions — from the contestation level of active themes
Unreckoned Events (⚠ Soft Flags)
- Hormuz: Brent above $129 as of 2026-04-04 — R051 exit triggers haven’t been re-evaluated at this level. US Navy escort deadline (end of March) has lapsed with no evidence filed on what happened.
- Gold: No FOMC meeting since March 17-18. Next data point: any surprise macro print or Fed communication.
Freshness Check
| Data point | Last verified | Budget | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent crude | 2026-04-04 | 6h (commodities) | ⚠ STALE — needs live fetch |
| WTI crude | 2026-04-04 | 6h | ⚠ STALE |
| Gold spot | 2026-03-07 | 24h (equities/FX) | ⚠ STALE |
| DXY | 2026-03-07 | 24h | ⚠ STALE |
| Fed Funds rate | 2026-03-17 | Since last release | ✅ Current (no FOMC since) |
Open Contestation
- Dollar safe haven: Genuinely split evidence. No new data to resolve. The Hormuz crisis IS the test case but no member has explicitly framed it that way yet — potential Q&A prompt.
Generated by: Phase 4 prototype (P6). In production, this digest would be posted to Discord/Slack and filed here as archive.