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[E5161] Bond market pricing higher inflation as commodities/materials begin rising with industrial cycle. Nominal growth 5% vs rates 2% creates real rate compression supporting equities but threatening bonds.
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[E5162] Quantitative strategies experiencing largest drawdown since 2023 as momentum shifts from growth/mag-7 to industrial/value. August 2007 analogy warns of volatility as quants reposition and hedge funds buy puts.
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[E5158] US faces acute electricity shortage as data centers consume generation faster than utilities add supply. PJM records set; generators delayed retirement; emergency protocols. Power is binding constraint for AI, not capital.
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[E5160] Industrial cycle turning from 17-year capacity destruction. PMIs breaking 50 level first time since housing bubble; trend accelerating as permitting fast-tracked and supply constraints force materials/labor inflation.
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[E5157] AI capex buildout requires power and industrial infrastructure chronically undersupplied. Data center construction highest since 2022; capital goods breaking out above CRB; industrial cycle without prior excess capacity.